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标  题: Re: 房价涨 租金平 看不懂 有点动摇了

发信人: xiaonurse (trytry), 信区: SanFrancisco
标  题: Re: 房价涨 租金平 看不懂 有点动摇了
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Feb 13 23:15:47 2017, 美东)

看着楼主都累，对于普通人来说timing the market is a HUGE mistake.对于普通人来
说股市上就是buy index and hold. 房子就是，在工作比较稳定的前提下，尽可能早买。

什么拐点啊，什么crash阿，巴菲特都预测不了，你操那个心？说不定再涨一倍再crash
你怎么办？

如果是长期持有，不确定性就很小，股市任何15年投资回报都是正的，30年平均都有7%。

房子一般跟着通货膨胀涨，但是加上杠杆（你只20%本金），收益也不错。

买房子亏钱的只有两种情况，第一，买的地方人口大量涌出，第二，自己丢了工作迫不
得已在低点把房子卖出。这两样都不是人为可控因素。

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