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说一个基本面选股的思路


第一种:还没有启动的new sector的龙头股,最好是管理层受到机构和媒体追捧的,譬
如年初的TSLA以及A股的乐视网,TSLA去年年底就在我的QQ群里喊过all in,板上的
information大牛可以作证。
第二种:改变Business Model,有扭亏趋势的,譬如BBY,DANG,大家可能不知道,
DANG在上半年改变了business model,从以网上书店为主转型服装销售,并且在淘宝开
店,如果看过CEO李国庆的访谈就知道,他花了3个月时间打通供应链,底气很足,而且
服装从出厂价到终端售价利润在8倍以上,所以DANG的转型值得期待,今年下半年的涨
幅大家也都看到了。
第三种:经营良好股价低于bookvalue并且有稳定分红的股票,今年3月的时候我给一些
朋友推荐了SB这个股票,虽然ticker很不吉利,当时它的股价才3块多,但是
bookvalue就有6块多并且分红稳定,所以我认为它的股价涨上去只是时间问题。

这三种类型的股票我认为风险是比较小的,但是需要hold比较久才能看到高回报,大概
1-3个quarter的样子吧。大家可以作为参考,just my 2 cents,有说的不对的地方请
多指教。

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