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炒股是一个自知之明的游戏

发信人: rival (sss), 信区: Stock
标  题: 炒股是一个自知之明的游戏
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Jan  1 09:29:35 2012, 美东)

zijing的回帖当中我写过了，这里抄过来，对有些人或许有些用处。

zijing的确很牛了，可以说是大家的目标或者说梦想。但炒股首先牵扯到一个自知之明的问题，紫荆即使还没有完全得道，在炒股当中也是出类拔萃了。但对 于大部分人来说，这辈子其实无论怎么努力都不可能得道了。没有得道其实没什么，但就怕明明没有那个本事，而去用0.001%尖子的trading操作，去 追求超高的利润。一旦亏损，马上又恐慌。说白了，还是贪婪和恐惧的问题。这就是我说股版大部分帖子有误导，因为这些帖子再把大家往一条根本不适合大部分人 的路上引。

诸如我这样的泛泛之辈，股市也是有机会的，但首先要否定自己，承认自己永远不可能是1年就弄出几十倍10倍甚至2倍的人，咱们的目标就是一年30%-50%. 其实这个30-50%坚持10年已经足够你提前退休了。我个人的经验就是4条：

   1. 纪律性。比如大阴棒坚决不买，不到自己定的TA indicator不买,等等
   2. 只买自己了解的股票或者买超级大蓝筹。买自己了解的股票能很清楚什么价值是可以买的，并且如果被套还可以淡定。如果懒的研究基本面，那就炒MCD等等。今年炒MCD/wmt buy on dip也赚得满满了,而且睡的香。
    3. 做单边。这个其实可以商榷，只是如果单边做不好，双边除了两面抽没其他结果
    4. 开发自己的系统，并且坚决执行或者自动交易。

我刚才提的4点是我自己的切身体会，别人可能不同，但纪律性无论如何是必须要保证的。

ok,说了半天。其实仍然大部分人股市是失败者，否则赢家的钱从哪里来得？大家都是尖子，或者都是纪律超强，钱从谁身上赚呢？呵呵
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