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炒股要看大势


不知道是哪个老灯说的。估计用它做题目吧。

一直看板上的同学们,有些就是瞎做。其实,大势做错了最好也就是小赚。

例如苹果,炒个头底啊。当然这是短线。长线看,为啥美联储这么印钱,通膨还没有类?
有些同学会说数字造假。其实主要还是廉价能源的发现。能源是经济系统倍增器。
基本上,大宗商品的价格就是能源的价格。现在石油长期期货看跌,天然气小涨。
因为石化,交通,电力的需求现在还没有跟上,两年内会需求更加平衡。君不见LNG船
订单不短嘛。

这个关键点抓住了,其实思路就很清楚了。
1. 采油的不能买,apa.要买也要买上中下三游的采,练一体的例如xom. 煤就更加不要
说了,什么时候煤涨了,就是牛市到头了。
2. LNG是如果不在乎低收益,就是最好的pick.但是,因为长期合同锁定,涨也涨不到
哪里去。
3. 黄金去死吧。抗你妈头通膨啊。
4. 能源革命加上印钱,其实经济基本面不会很差。只要不出现次贷,耐心等着盗跖涨
到到24k.
找成长股和价值低估股都是可做之道。
5. 现在,美国是全世界最好的投资之地,能源价格低谷加上避险圣地。炒什么A股啊。
6. 最后,大家可以翻翻封起的日子关于2007年大牛市起源发展的综述。当然这不是很
肯定啊。哈哈。

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